Africa is poised to experience unprecedented population growth over the coming decades. According to the UN's World Population Prospects 2024 report, all 10 of the countries projected to have the fastest growth in percentage terms are located on the continent. Niger is expected to increase its population by 581%, with Angola (473%) and Tanzania (378%). Other African countries that will be among the fastest-growing in the world include Somalia, Zambia, Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Burkina Faso and Mozambique. When it comes to size of increase, Africa accounts for eight out of the ten countries with the largest projected population increases by the year 2100, with Nigeria leading the way with an estimated 527 million people, followed by significant gains in DRC, Tanzania, Ethiopia and Angola.
Pakistan and the United States are the only non-African nations in this list, with projected growth of 182 million and 103 million people, respectively. The projections from the UN DESA indicate that while populations in dozens of countries, including most of Emerging Europe, have peaked, populations in 126 other countries and areas will continue to grow until 2054, possibly peaking later in the century or after 2100. This group includes some of the most populous countries in the world, such as India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan, and the US. Overall, these locations' populations are projected to increase by 38% by 2044. In some countries like Angola, Central African Republic, DRC, Niger, and Somalia, population growth is projected to double between 2024 and 2034.
Countries and areas in sub-Saharan Africa are projected to see their populations increase by 79% over the next 30 years, reaching 2.2 billion people by 2054. This number is expected to continue growing by 51% by the end of the century, reaching 3.3 billion.
This rapid growth will shift the ranking of the world's most populous countries significantly, with Pakistan, Nigeria, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo likely to surpass the United States in terms of population size, while Tanzania is expected to join the top 10 by the end of the 21st century.
The main driver of this rapid population growth in sub-Sahara Africa is high fertility rates. About one-fifth of countries experiencing continued population growth have an average of 4 or more children per woman in 2024, which exacerbates challenges in achieving social and economic development. Significant investments are needed to ensure that no one is left behind.
These countries will face increasing pressure to eradicate poverty, end hunger and malnutrition, and ensure universal access to essential services such as healthcare and education. Despite concerns over rapid population growth and its impact on the planet, the global population is slowing down. However, the population in these 126 protected countries and areas is projected to continue growing beyond 2054, significantly influencing the global demographic landscape. By the year 2100, this group of countries will be home to 8.3 billion people, an increase of 64% from 2024. This increase will account for more than 82% of the world's population by 2100 compared to 62% in 2014.
17/07/2024